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Process Tracing: a Bayesian Perspective - Oxford …

    https://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780199286546-e-30
    This article provides an overview of process tracing, concentrating on the dimensions of this method that are relevant to Bayesian logic. It also briefly outlines the logic of Bayesian inference, emphasizing parallels with the logic of process tracing. The article shows these points with examples from the historical explanation of political events, including the 1898 Fashoda crisis, …

Process Tracing: A Bayesian Perspective | Request PDF

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257268044_Process_Tracing_A_Bayesian_Perspective
    Process tracing is a type of social science approach that historically links an outcome with the key events or processes that have produced it and searches for the observable implications of...

Explicit Bayesian Analysis for Process Tracing: …

    https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-analysis/article/explicit-bayesian-analysis-for-process-tracing-guidelines-opportunities-and-caveats/F93D3EA784730ED731AC910EEF306231
    Explicit Bayesian process tracing involves three key steps: (Section 3.1) specifying hypotheses Hi and assigning their prior probabilities, P(Hi ∣ I) , given relevant background information I , (Section 3.2) identifying the evidence, E , and (Section 3.3) assessing likelihoods, P(E ∣ HiI) , and/or likelihood ratios, P(E ∣ HiI) / P(E ∣ HjI) .

Process Tracing and Advanced Qualitative Methods: …

    https://www.eui.eu/Documents/DepartmentsCentres/SPS/Workshops/2014-2015/PC_ProcessTracingandAdvancedQualitativeMethods.pdf
    Bayesian inference as a general approach, show how we can conceptualize process tracing in Bayesian terms, and demonstrate the considerable advantages of doing so. The second lecture will address the problem of drawing inferences for multiple forms of evidence in mixed-method research. Specifically, how can we bring together quantitative (correlational) and process …

Process tracing - Wikipedia

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Process_tracing
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